Monday, September 24, 2007

New Home Auction in Casa Grande and Maricopa

This was advertised in the Kingman paper, but the homes are in Casa Grande and Maricopa. New homes with starting bids more than 50% off of the previous asking prices.

http://www.publicredcauction.com/auction_details.php?auctionID=D-004

Community details and pictures.

http://www.publicredcauction.com/community.php

Reality Check for Home Sellers

Here is a good column from the nytimes called "A Reality Check for Home Sellers"

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/23/business/yourmoney/23view.html?em&ex=1190692800&en=4dcf15445b9b3067&ei=5087%0A

I'm seeing exactly this in home prices in Mohave county. The sellers appear to be using a dart board to pick prices and you can have two houses next door to each other with the same floor plan, the same builder and built in the same year and a 30% difference in price.

If you are planning on buying now, you better have an honest realtor who will make sure you have all the facts about the listings in the area you are looking at.

Friday, September 21, 2007

Realtor Descriptions

I've always been interested in realtor's "code" words. Like "cozy" usually means it's so small you can't turn around. "Bright and sunny" usually means it's painted yellow or orange. "Needs TLC" might mean bring a contracter or possibly just a shovel and a few trash cans.

I've noticed now that so many foreclosures are hitting the sales listings, realtors have different ways of listing. Probably most just ignore the foreclosure part and don't acknowledge it. Some might say bank owned or foreclosure in the description.

I saw two new ones this week that were very creative. One said "bank acquired". The other was my favorite. It said "under new ownership".

Some Pretty Scary Stuff on the Dollar and the US

I've been reading a lot of UK articles lately. Here is a sample of a couple of fairly recent ones. Scary stuff.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/2007/09/19/bcnsaudi119.xml

Fears of dollar collapse as Saudis take fright
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor
Last Updated: 10:35am BST 21/09/2007

Saudi Arabia has refused to cut interest rates in lockstep with the US Federal Reserve for the first time, signalling that the oil-rich Gulf kingdom is preparing to break the dollar currency peg in a move that risks setting off a stampede out of the dollar across the Middle East.

"This is a very dangerous situation for the dollar," said Hans Redeker, currency chief at BNP Paribas.

"Saudi Arabia has $800bn (£400bn) in their future generation fund, and the entire region has $3,500bn under management. They face an inflationary threat and do not want to import an interest rate policy set for the recessionary conditions in the United States," he said.

The Saudi central bank said today that it would take "appropriate measures" to halt huge capital inflows into the country, but analysts say this policy is unsustainable and will inevitably lead to the collapse of the dollar peg.

As a close ally of the US, Riyadh has so far tried to stick to the peg, but the link is now destabilising its own economy.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml;jsessionid=4T0ZHDXYFPAYDQFIQMGSFF4AVCBQWIV0?xml=/money/2007/08/07/bcnchina107a.xml

China threatens 'nuclear option' of dollar sales
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
Last Updated: 8:39pm BST 10/08/2007

The Chinese government has begun a concerted campaign of economic threats against the United States, hinting that it may liquidate its vast holding of US treasuries if Washington imposes trade sanctions to force a yuan revaluation.

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Sheriff Arpaio's Illegal Immigrant Hotline Billboards

http://www.mcso.org/include/pr_pdf/s%20Mobile%20Illegal%20Immigration%20Billboards.pdf


Date: September 15, 2007

ARPAIO AUTHORIZES 24 MOVING BILLBOARDS TO BOLSTER CALLS TO SHERIFF’S ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION HOTLINE

‘DO NOT ILLEGALLY ENTER’ BILLBOARDS
WILL BE SEEN ALL OVER COUNTY, CITY STREETS

(Phoenix, AZ) In a move that is certain to inflame illegal immigration activists, Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio plans to unveil a unique method of advertising his illegal immigration hotline on Sunday afternoon.

Legends of America Site

I found this really cool site called legends of america. I love this site, tons of interesting things.

This page is on Chloride.

http://www.legendsofamerica.com/AZ-Chloride.html

This one mentions Cerbat, Mineral Park and even Kingman.

http://www.legendsofamerica.com/AZ-Cerbat.html

Arizona fun facts.

http://www.legendsofamerica.com/AZ-ArizonaFacts.html

Laughlin Ranch Bankrupcy

The latest news on the Lords bankruptcy. Multiple homes and land parcels by one of the builders in the subdivision have been auctioned in recent months also.

Lords looks to ‘move forward'
By NEIL YOUNG/The Daily News
Monday, September 17, 2007 9:08 PM PDT

BULLHEAD CITY - “Everything seems to be tracking as planned,” said Laughlin Ranch President David Lords regarding his bankruptcy proceedings.

It was announced on July 13 that Laughlin Ranch had filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 11 and a California-based company was interested in buying the master-planned upscale community on the Bullhead Parkway.

The bankruptcy was filed “in order to implement a planned acquisition of Laughlin Ranch by The Lewis Group of Companies,” a press release stated.

“Between now and October is their due diligence time,” Lords said of Lewis. “And then at that point, we move forward,” in late October, he said. During due diligence, a potential investor analyzes and appraises a business.

With an infusion of $10 million from Lewis to keep Laughlin Ranch going, it's business as usual, according to Lords. “All operations are open.”

http://www.mohavedailynews.com/articles/2007/09/18/news/top_story/top1.txt

U.S. Fed's impact on home prices in doubt

By David Leonhardt
Published: September 19, 2007

NEW YORK: The U.S. Federal Reserve has sent the stock market soaring. So can it stop the decline in home prices, too?
Don't count on it. And that is bad news for the global economy, which heavily depends on the U.S. consumer.

From the late 1960s until 2000, the price of the typical American home and the income of the typical family moved almost in lockstep. House prices rose a bit more quickly than incomes during the occasional real estate boom, but would always settle down again. In 2000, the median home cost about $130,000, roughly three times the typical household income - almost precisely the ratio that had held since the '60s.

Then came a real estate boom unlike any before it. By last year, this ratio of prices to incomes had suddenly shot up to four and a half. For it to return to its old level, home prices would have to fall by an almost unthinkable one-third, and probably more in California, Florida and the Northeast.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/09/19/business/leonhardt.php

Countrywide 'out of the subprime business'

I have been saying that the no-doc loans aren't coming back for a while if ever and have been made fun of and called stupid. Looks like even Countrywide agrees with me.

By Noelle Knox, USA TODAY

Angelo Mozilo, the CEO of Countrywide Financial (CFC), outlined a new strategy Tuesday that would transform the nation's largest mortgage lender from an aggressive funding source for borrowers with tarnished credit into a more conservative thrift, dependent on savings deposits instead of Wall Street investors.

"We are out of the subprime business," Mozilo told investors at a conference in San Francisco. Nearly 25% of Countrywide's subprime borrowers were behind on their loan payments at the end of June.

Countrywide has also stopped making loans to people with good, or prime, credit who lack documented proof of their income or assets. Starting next year, Mozilo said, 80% of its mortgages will meet the standards of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the government-backed institutions that buy loans to provide liquidity to the market. That's up from 60% at the end of last year.

"It's a reflection of the current market. The loans that are in demand are the ones with all the i's dotted and t's crossed," said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com. "This further signifies the easy credit of days gone by will be a relic of the past."

As the shakeout in the mortgage industry continues, Mozilo said he expects Countrywide's business to decline 25% next year compared with this year. The company has announced it will fire up to 12,000 of its employees. The plan unveiled Tuesday includes hiring more people in India who would take calls from delinquent borrowers hoping to renegotiate the terms of their loans and avoid foreclosure.

Record default rates and turmoil in the credit market, Mozilo said, have "repainted the entire mortgage landscape."

And the paint hasn't dried.

http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/2007-09-17-mortgage-outlook_N.htm

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

FOMC cuts fed funds and discount rates by half point each

By Greg Robb
Last Update: 2:15 PM ET Sep 18, 2007

In a statement, the FOMC said the action "was necessary to forestall some of the adverse effects on the broad economy that might otherwise arise from the disruptions in financial markets and to promote moderate growth over time." The Fed said that some inflation risks remain. It said the credit crunch could hurt the economy.

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/federal...

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Japanese Housewives Sweat in Secret as Markets Reel

I found this a really interesting article:

By MARTIN FACKLER
Published: September 16, 2007
TOKYO, Sept. 15 — Since the credit crisis started shaking the world financial markets this summer, many professional traders have taken big losses. Another, less likely group of investors has, too: middle-class Japanese homemakers who moonlight as amateur currency speculators.

Ms. Itoh is one of them. Ms. Itoh, a homemaker in the central city of Nagoya, did not want her full name used because her husband still does not know. After cleaning the dinner dishes, she would spend her evenings buying and selling British pounds and Australian dollars.

When the turmoil struck the currency markets last month, Ms. Itoh spent a sleepless week as market losses wiped out her holdings. She lost nearly all her family’s $100,000 in savings.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/16/business/worldbusiness/16housewives.html?_r=1&th&emc=th&oref=slogin

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Bank of England Tries to Stop Bank Run

Bank of England tries to stop a run on mortgage bank
By Tariq Panja, Associated Press Writer

LONDON — The Bank of England provided emergency funding to mortgage lender Northern Rock on Friday after the bank, citing the global credit squeeze triggered by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, said it was unable to line up short-term loans from other financial institutions.
Even after the central bank issued a statement saying Northern Rock was solvent, slow-moving lines of customers snaked through the doors at the bank's branches to make withdrawals.

http://www.usatoday.com/money/world/2007-09-14-british-bank_N.htm

Northern Rock Gets Emergency Bank of England Funding (Update8)
By Ben Livesey and Jon Menon

Sept. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Northern Rock Plc got emergency funding from the Bank of England, the biggest bailout of a British lender in 30 years, after rising credit costs left the mortgage provider unable to make new loans.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a7WvTBECy164&refer=home

Northern Rock Crumbles
Vidya Ram, 09.14.07, 9:40 AM ET

LONDON -
The moment that the British banking sector has been dreading came on Friday. Northern Rock, the country's fifth-largest mortgage lender, confirmed late on Thursday that it had requested and received a line of emergency funding from the Bank of England.

http://www.forbes.com/markets/2007/09/14/northern-rock-britain-markets-equity-cx_vr_0914markets03.html

'The Dumb Money Has Left the Market'

Home sales and median prices dipped again in San Diego County.
By KELLY BENNETT Voice Staff Writer

Thursday, Sept. 13, 2007 Fewer homes sold last month in San Diego County than in any August in 15 years, DataQuick Information Systems reported Wednesday.

The 3,104 homes sold marked a 19.4 percent drop in sales volume from August 2006, and a 48 percent drop from the nearly 6,000 homes sold in August 2005.

Many of the deals that closed in August -- and that show up in data now -- began in July or early August, before the squeeze. Still, the same trouble that has plagued the region's home sellers and overleveraged homeowners for more than a year continued last month, with acute trouble in the south and east parts of the county.

http://www.voiceofsandiego.org/articles/2007/09/13/housing/915dqaug091307.txt

California Home sales plunge in August

Prices drop in most Southland ZIP Codes, and the number of sales is the lowest in 15 years for that month.

By Annette Haddad, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
September 13, 2007

Home prices fell in most Southern California neighborhoods and the number of sales tumbled to a 15-year low for August -- driven down by tougher lending standards, mounting foreclosures and skittish buyers.

Sales for the month plunged 36% from a year earlier. What's more, 71% of the Southland's ZIP Codes showed price declines, according to figures released Wednesday by DataQuick Information Systems. The survey excluded areas with 14 or fewer sales.....

"People just don't have the income to support these prices except with crazy mortgages -- and now the mortgage money is going away, and people are walking away from their homes," Thornberg said.Nearly 9% of the homes sold last month were foreclosure properties, DataQuick reported, up from 2.2% a year earlier.

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-homes13sep13,0,611742,full.story?coll=la-home-center

Thursday, September 13, 2007

Milwaukee Boat loans hit choppy seas

Worsening credit crunch has area repossessions on the rise, experts say

By RICK BARRETTrbarrett@journalsentinel.com
Posted: Sept. 11, 2007

More consumers are getting swamped in their boat loans as credit woes worsen.

In the Milwaukee area, companies that repossess recreational watercraft say their business is up between 20% and 50% from a year ago. They're hauling away boats that cost tens of thousands of dollars, or more, after the owners fall several months behind on their payments.

http://www.jsonline.com/story/index.aspx?id=660784

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Mortgage Lender's Bankruptcy May Threaten Thousands of Homeowners

As more lenders file bankruptcy, this could become a bigger problem.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB118955540976824460.html?mod=yahoo_hs&ru=yahoo

By PEG BRICKLEYSeptember 12, 2007; Page A15
Thousands of homeowners face an "imminent risk" of losing their homes because of clashes between American Home Mortgage Investment Corp. and its former financial backers, according to Freddie Mac, a government-chartered housing financier.

In documents filed with the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Wilmington, Del., Freddie Mac said it seized $7 million that homeowners sent to American Home to cover principal and interest payments, property taxes and insurance just before the company's Aug. 6 collapse. American Home quit making payments to tax authorities and insurance companies Aug. 24.

Freddie Mac said 4,547 loans valued at nearly $797 million are at stake. It said it doesn't have the loan files necessary to pay insurance premiums and property taxes on them, however. "Therefore, there is the imminent risk that borrowers' insurance policies may lapse for nonpayment, subjecting the borrowers to a risk of loss of their mortgaged properties," Freddie Mac said.

California Foreclosure Statistics

This article has some interesting California stats:

http://www.centralvalleybusinesstimes.com/stories/001/?ID=6291

Double-digit increase in foreclosure sales statewide

September 12, 2007 4:59am

• Realty speculators walk away from $1.71 billion in mortgage loans
• ‘Rampant speculation … played a leading role’

A total of 9,477 properties – with a total loan value of $3.86 billion – were sold at auction in California last month, a 10.4 percent increase over July, according to figures compiled by ForeclosureRadar, a Discovery Bay-based foreclosure information service.

Speculator-owned properties (non-owner occupied properties) accounted for $1.71 billion of that total and represented 44.3 percent, or 4,199 of the properties sold at foreclosure auction.

“Many blame subprime lending for our current real estate crisis, but rampant speculation, even by those with great credit, played a leading role,” says Sean O’Toole, founder and CEO of ForeclosureRadar.com......

• Almost all (90.3%) of all foreclosure sales in California in August were for homes purchased or refinanced in 2005 and 2006.

• Of properties sold at auction, 95% went back to the bank – for a total of 9,015 properties with a loan value of $3.7 billion.

International Representatives Demand to Oversee U.S. Markets

September 3, 2007
From theTrumpet.com

The unfolding “made in America” worldwide subprime mortgage crisis has foreign bankers demanding international regulation of American markets, banks and rating agencies. By Robert Morley

In his foreign-policy speech on August 27, French President Nicolas Sarkozy called for an enhanced global rule book to avoid financial crises. Sarkozy, who has vowed to “moralize financial capitalism,” said such crises could reoccur if “the leaders of major countries” did not take “concerted
action to foster transparency and regulation of international markets.”
International bankers and investors from China to France and Germany have lost billions of dollars because U.S. investments, sold as safe, turned out to be far riskier and worth much less than what American investment-rating agencies and banks led them to believe. They don’t want to be deceived again.

http://www.thetrumpet.com/index.php?q=4208.2381.0.0

Want to Refinance? Think Again, Brokers Say

By Reuters 11 Sep 2007 01:54 PM ET

Some 57 percent of mortgage broker customers were unable to refinance their adjustable-rate loans to avoid higher monthly payments in August, suggesting the U.S. housing slump may worsen, according to a national survey on Tuesday. .....

The Campbell survey also found that a third of home purchase closings were canceled in August. Loan closings were canceled for 56 percent of subprime borrowers in the month amid failed approvals, while closings for 21 percent of home buyers with good credit were foiled.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/20723118

Retirement Funds Vanish as Bankruptcies Hit Tax-Deferred Scheme

By Erik Larson

Sept. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Marsha Slotten's bad news came in April by e-mail, from a tipster warning that the company holding her retirement nest egg had collapsed.
After racing in a panic to the office of Southwest Exchange Inc. outside Las Vegas, she found a locked door and a sign saying the staff was ``in training.'' It never reopened.
``I was devastated,'' said Slotten, 58, who said she was forced to cancel early retirement after the disappearance of $2.74 million she made selling a strip mall. ``I thought I knew what I was doing, but now my nest egg, my retirement plan, is gone.''

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=ary1hm_rkIgU&refer=home

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Supervisors agree to raise zoning fees

Suzanne Adams
Miner Staff Writer

Homeowners seeking to rezone their property will take a bigger hit in their pocketbook. The County Board of Supervisors unanimously approved a significant increase in zoning and general or area plan amendment fees during its meeting on Tuesday. The fees will go into effect in mid-October.

The County Planning and Zoning Commission endorsed the increase in a 5-3 vote during its meeting last month.

Some of the fees increase by as much as 100 percent. According to material given to the Board by the P&Z Department, the zoning and plan amendment fees have not been increased since 2001.

Countrywide Once Again Needs a Bailout

After announcing the layoffs of over 12,000 employees last week, there is more bad news in the pipeline for Countrywide, the nations largest lender.

http://www.nypost.com/seven/09112007/business/countryslide.htm

September 11, 2007 -- Countrywide Financial Corp. is putting together another multi-billion dollar bailout plan as the nation's largest home lender continues to struggle amid the global credit crunch and declines in the housing market, The Post has learned.........

Countrywide, which handles one of every five new U.S. mortgages, has been hurt by falling home prices and record foreclosures. The company has billions in medium-term debt coming due in about 90 days and needs to cash to continue operating.

9/11

Here is a very well done Youtube video commemorating the FDNY fire fighters who died on 9/11.

http://www.youtube.com/watch...

Las Vegas Housing Market Bits and Pieces

Some bits and pieces on the Las Vegas housing market. A lot of these articles say the same things I've been saying regarding prices and speculation:

******
http://www.lvrj.com/business/9660427.html

Southern Nevada's economy, dragged down by the slumping housing industry, posted another month of modest performance.
New and existing home sales dropped 40 percent and new home permits are off by 45 percent, contributing to a 0.11 percent decline in the Southern Nevada Index of Leading Economic Indicators.......

"My contention is that the lack of white-collar jobs and relatively high housing costs would eventually slow down the migration, but without good data, it's hard to know for sure. Affordable housing was one of the big draws and now that's pretty much gone, for now."

******
http://www.lvrj.com/business/9638272.html

"What continues to drive the national numbers," Duncan said, "is what is happening in the states of California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona. Were it not for the increases in foreclosure starts in those four states, we would have seen a nationwide drop in the rate of foreclosure filings."

Duncan counted 34 states with declining rates of foreclosure.

The same four states have more than 19 percent of the nation's subprime adjustable-rate mortgages.

******
http://www.inbusinesslasvegas.com/2007/09/07/feature2.html

The high-rise and mid-rise condo markets continue to weaken as demand has softened and supply continues to increase - a problem that will worsen as more and more projects come on line in the next year, analysts said. Given the current pace of sales in the resale market, several years of inventory remain.

Those who already closed on their condos with the intention of flipping them aren't finding the buyers they expected. The rental pool for the high-end units is shallow, and the rent owners can charge is limited. That could lead to defaults in the high-rise market.

"I think a lot of folks bought intending to sell. They never thought to live in it or buy it to rent," Restrepo said.

"I hear from condo owners every single day. They bought it to flip it and they can't sell it," added Eric Smith, owner of Colorado-based Corporate Housing By Owner, which works with condo owners who lease their units for short-term corporate housing.

******
http://www.inbusinesslasvegas.com/2007/09/07/realty.html

Las Vegas Realtor Eric Young prides himself on being a numbers guy, and when it when comes to the local housing market, the numbers paint an awful picture...

Young, who tracks average sales prices by square footage, reports homes of up to 1,250 square are 7.5 percent off their peak; homes of 1,250 to 1,499 square feet are off 8.5 percent; homes 1,500 to 1,749 are off 8.9 percent; homes 1,750 to 1,999 are off 9.6 percent; homes 2,000 to 2,249 are off 7.7 percent; and homes 2,250 to 2,449 are off 8.9 percent.

In the last six weeks, the average home prices are down 2.6 to 3.5 percent, Young said. The GLVAR is expected to release its statistics for August by Monday at the latest.

The price per square foot that many homes are selling for today is the same as it was in early 2004 when the market was still appreciating, he said.

"It is far worse than the numbers are showing," said Young, echoing what a few others have been saying about statistics on the housing market. "If you start to dig into the numbers, the research shows the prices for the same home are declining greater than the averages are showing."

******
http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/chi-sun_lasvegas0909sep09,0,1389227,full.story

"Houses were really cheap. Loans were really easy," said Lewis, who moved from California. "These were investors who didn't ever live here. Now, they're totally walking away."

Under pressure to respond, lawmakers are struggling to fashion relief for strapped homeowners while avoiding an undeserved bailout for quick-buck artists caught in the same squeeze. Even as President Bush in a Rose Garden ceremony Aug. 31 proposed aid for those threatened with losing their homes, he promised the government's role will be "limited."

Yet, if Las Vegas is any indication, sorting out the sympathetic hardship cases from those who gambled and lost could prove impossible. While the term "investor" brings to mind Warren Buffett, Vanguard or Fidelity, most of the real estate sharpies here were small-timers. The typical speculator bought "one-sies and two-sies," before finally "getting caught with their pants down," said Frank Nason, president of Las Vegas real estate firm Residential Resources.

Those who failed to cash out ahead of the bust have left owner-occupants such as Lewis stranded in a lonely landscape. Almost half of the 30,000 homes listed for sale in the Las Vegas metropolitan area stand vacant, said Nason, making it that much tougher to sell the rest.

"It's kind of a downward spiral," he said. "In the next year or two, it could get a heckuva lot worse.".........

The Mortgage Bankers Association, reporting last week on the rise in delinquencies and foreclosures, cited the higher risk of so-called investor loans made to buyers with no plans to live in the properties they purchased.

Nevada had more of those loans than any other state, and almost one-third of them were at least 90 days past due as of June 30, compared with 13 percent nationwide.

U.S. mortgage companies face sharp job cuts

Bloomberg News
Published: September 10, 2007

NEW YORK: The worst U.S. housing slump in 16 years may lead mortgage companies to eliminate almost 100,000 jobs this year, more than double the number already cut since January.

As many as 20 percent of U.S. real estate loan officers and mortgage brokers will be fired, according to Josh Rosner, a managing director at Graham Fisher & Co., an investment research firm in New York.

That is in addition to the 10 percent reduction from December to July that thinned their ranks to 450,000, as many investors stopped buying mortgages and lenders curtailed financing to avoid rising subprime defaults.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/09/10/business/prime.php

Weyerhaeuser may close plants

Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:55AM EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Weyerhaeuser Co (WY.N: Quote, Profile, Research), one of the world's largest paper and lumber companies, said on Monday that weak market conditions would probably force it to close plants and trim operations at its wood products business, which serves the housing and construction industries.
Weyerhaeuser said in a U.S. regulatory filing that the market for wood products had not improved in the third quarter and would probably result in closures, curtailments and restricted operations at its wood products facilities.

http://www.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUSWEN086820070910

Sunday, September 9, 2007

U.S. housing woes go south -- to Baja

'Flippers' from California who invested in the construction boom on the northern Mexican coast are now finding it difficult to unload their condos.

By Marla Dickerson, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
September 8, 2007

PLAYAS DE ROSARITO, MEXICO -- -- The ripples of the U.S. real estate boom began washing up on the shores of this beach town a few years ago. Californians, feeling flush from the steep run-up in housing values stateside, pulled equity from their primary homes and snapped up vacation properties in northern Baja California as if they were buying $10 lobster dinners................................

..............."The ones who bought multiple units are going to be in real deep doo-doo," said real estate agent Roberta Giesea, owner of Baja4U Properties. "The market has slowed way down."

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-bajabust8sep08,0,420904.story?coll=la-home-center

The Financial Big One Hit

This is one of the best explanations of why lowering the interest rate would be extremely bad for the United States. There are lots of technical articles, but this one is easily understood.

http://www.oftwominds.com/blog.html

The Big One Just Hit
September 8, 2007

Here in California we refer to the next catastrophic earthquake as The Big One--not a modest little 7.0 temblor like Loma Prieta in 1989, but a massive 8.0+ quake like the 1906 event which devastated San Francisco.

The financial Big One hit today. Though the markets are still standing, the apparently modest damage is illusory--deep inside, the supports have broken. Over the next few weeks, we will witness a seemingly sound structure start collapsing under its own weight--the global house of structured debt. Though to the naked eye it seemed to have survived today's modest financial quake, reverberating shock waves will soon bring it down.

Let's start with a chart of the U.S. dollar index. The mainstream media is full of stories about the Federal Reserve cutting rates, but the bigger story--the fall of the dollar below the multi-decade support level of 80--was barely mentioned.

Friday, September 7, 2007

Subprime: Let the finger-pointing begin!

The crisis brought on by worries about shaky subprime mortgages continues to rattle Wall Street. Even as the storm rages, the blame game has begun.
By Peter Eavis, Fortune writer

http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2007/fortune/0709/gallery.subprime_blame.fortune//index.html?cnn=yes